| Challenges in control of COVID-19: short doubling time and long delay to effect of interventions L Pellis, F Scarabel, HB Stage, CE Overton, LHK Chappell, E Fearon, ... Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B 376 (1829), 20200264, 2021 | 171 | 2021 |
| Hospital length of stay for COVID-19 patients: Data-driven methods for forward planning B Vekaria, C Overton, A Wiśniowski, S Ahmad, A Aparicio-Castro, ... BMC Infectious Diseases 21, 1-15, 2021 | 170 | 2021 |
| Transmission dynamics of monkeypox in the United Kingdom: contact tracing study T Ward, R Christie, RS Paton, F Cumming, CE Overton bmj 379, 2022 | 104 | 2022 |
| Using statistics and mathematical modelling to understand infectious disease outbreaks: COVID-19 as an example CE Overton, HB Stage, S Ahmad, J Curran-Sebastian, P Dark, R Das, ... Infectious Disease Modelling 5, 409-441, 2020 | 101 | 2020 |
| Early epidemiological signatures of novel SARS-CoV-2 variants: establishment of B. 1.617. 2 in England R Challen, L Dyson, CE Overton, LM Guzman-Rincon, EM Hill, HB Stage, ... MedRxiv, 2021.06. 05.21258365, 2021 | 68 | 2021 |
| The rapid replacement of the SARS-CoV-2 Delta variant by Omicron (B. 1.1. 529) in England RS Paton, CE Overton, T Ward Science Translational Medicine 14 (652), eabo5395, 2022 | 49 | 2022 |
| Challenges for modelling interventions for future pandemics ME Kretzschmar, B Ashby, E Fearon, CE Overton, J Panovska-Griffiths, ... Epidemics 38, 100546, 2022 | 47 | 2022 |
| Short-term forecasts to inform the response to the Covid-19 epidemic in the UK S Funk, S Abbott, BD Atkins, M Baguelin, JK Baillie, P Birrell, J Blake, ... MedRxiv, 2020.11. 11.20220962, 2020 | 35 | 2020 |
| Using a household-structured branching process to analyse contact tracing in the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic M Fyles, E Fearon, C Overton, ... Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B 376 (1829), 20200267, 2021 | 33 | 2021 |
| Challenges in estimation, uncertainty quantification and elicitation for pandemic modelling B Swallow, P Birrell, J Blake, M Burgman, P Challenor, LE Coffeng, ... Epidemics 38, 100547, 2022 | 32 | 2022 |
| Estimation of reproduction numbers in real time: conceptual and statistical challenges L Pellis, PJ Birrell, J Blake, CE Overton, F Scarabel, HB Stage, ... Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A: Statistics in Society 185 …, 2022 | 20 | 2022 |
| Adjusting for time of infection or positive test when estimating the risk of a post-infection outcome in an epidemic SR Seaman, T Nyberg, CE Overton, DJ Pascall, AM Presanis, ... Statistical methods in medical research 31 (10), 1942-1958, 2022 | 17 | 2022 |
| EpiBeds: Data informed modelling of the COVID-19 hospital burden in England CE Overton, L Pellis, HB Stage, F Scarabel, J Burton, C Fraser, I Hall, ... PLoS computational biology 18 (9), e1010406, 2022 | 15 | 2022 |
| Methods for approximating stochastic evolutionary dynamics on graphs CE Overton, M Broom, C Hadjichrysanthou, KJ Sharkey Journal of Theoretical Biology 468, 45-59, 2019 | 14 | 2019 |
| Approximating quasi-stationary behaviour in network-based SIS dynamics CE Overton, RR Wilkinson, A Loyinmi, JC Miller, KJ Sharkey Bulletin of Mathematical Biology 84, 1-32, 2022 | 13 | 2022 |
| Effectiveness of the BNT162b2 (Pfizer-BioNTech) and the ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 (Oxford-AstraZeneca) vaccines for reducing susceptibility to infection with the Delta variant (B. 1.617 … K Pattni, D Hungerford, S Adams, I Buchan, CP Cheyne, M García-Fiñana, ... BMC infectious diseases 22 (1), 270, 2022 | 10 | 2022 |
| Challenges for modelling interventions for future pandemics. Epidemics 38, 100546 ME Kretzschmar, B Ashby, E Fearon, CE Overton, J Panovska-Griffiths, ... | 9 | 2022 |
| Nowcasting the 2022 mpox outbreak in England CE Overton, S Abbott, R Christie, F Cumming, J Day, O Jones, R Paton, ... PLOS Computational Biology 19 (9), e1011463, 2023 | 8 | 2023 |
| Replacement dynamics and the pathogenesis of the Alpha, Delta and Omicron variants of SARS-CoV-2 T Ward, A Glaser, CE Overton, B Carpenter, N Gent, AC Seale Epidemiology & Infection 151, e32, 2023 | 8 | 2023 |
| University of Manchester COVID-19 Modelling Group, Tom Wingfield, Graham F. Medley, Ian Hall, Lorenzo Pellis, and Thomas House. Using a household-structured branching process … M Fyles, E Fearon, C Overton Philosop. Trans. R. Soc. B: Biol. Sci 376 (1829), 20200267, 2021 | 6 | 2021 |
